Why it Will Get Worse

I know I have been predominately optimistic about the local real estate market, however, over the last few weeks I'm starting to think we might not be out of trouble yet. In fact, the problem may be getting bigger. Why the change of heart? Lender guidelines, "Declining Markets, and Americans spending habits"

This ugly tag of a "declining market" that lenders and mortgage insurance companies have set on most of Colorado and the nation is going to hurt. If a market is designated as a "declining market" financing becomes much more difficult for those who are trying to obtain financing (purchase or refinancing). 100% financing, forget about it. In a "declining market" 95% financing is difficult to find, a lot of lenders will on financing 90%-92%. Ten, twenty years ago this would not have been a problem (actually the norm), however, very few people plan or have the ability to make a down payment now.

Lender and mortgage insurance guidelines are becoming more conservative by the day. Stated income loans, which most self-employed borrowers use to qualify, are becoming extinct or so limited they are only useful to a small percentage. Other similar guideline changes have excluded thousand from home ownership or trapping them in bad loans that they can't refinance.

For example, I talked to a borrower the other day, he purchased his house 2 years ago with no money down. He has a great credit score 743, he has never made a late payment in his life, however, because he lives in a "declining market" and is self-employed he has no chance at obtaining a new loan at this time. He can't afford his payment when it increases $650/month, he is going to have to walk a way from his home.

So we have an excess of homes on the market, thousands of people who own homes and now in trouble (because of the economy, life changing events, or bad loans), lenders shutting the doors on a majority of society, and Americans who like to spend and hate to save. This is bad news for the national economy and local real estate market. However, all of the plans that have came from the White House or Capital Hill will do little or nothing to stop the slide. Watch out!!!

Prosperity Financial - Your Mortgage Manager
Lafayette, CO

www.colomortgages.com www.myprosperityfinancial.com www.3bed2bath.net

Feds Cut the Rates Again - What Does it Mean

Every time the Federal Reserve cuts the rates the phone calls I receive appear to be ten fold of a normal day. Every one is curious what it will do to their mortgage rate, does it make sense to refinance now? What almost every one doesn't know, is the when the Federal Reserve lowers the Fed funds rate it doesn't necessarily correspond to an equal drop in mortgage rates and often mortgage rates increase. Let's see if I can keep this simple...

When the Fed lowers the fund rates it has a direct effect on short term rates, (credit cards, lines of credit (HELOCs). So you can expect the interest you pay on your credit cards and home equity loans to decrease (unless if you have a Capital One card, they have been known to raise their rates when the Fed cuts rates). However, you will now earn less on money you have invested in CD's, money markets, and savings account.

Unlike short term rates, mortgage rates are determined by the market and adjust according to the market (some days it will adjust multiple times a day and others none at all). The Fed lowers the funds rate to try to stimulate the economy by enticing people to spend money and the stock market usually has a positive reaction to rate cuts, at least in the short term. When people are investing their money in the stock market there is less money to invest in bonds. The 10 year bond is a good indicator of where mortgage rates are heading. If the bond market is not doing well, mortgage rates increase.

There is obviously a lot more than this, but this at least will give you a good idea on how mortgage rates work. While, we saw an increase in mortgage rates today, I believe the optimism in the market will be short lived and we will see rates fall again, at least for a day or a few hours like it did last week. So if you are thinking of refinancing, stay tuned as this next week or two will be the best time to do it.

Prosperity Financial - Your Mortgage Manager
Lafayette, Colorado

http://www.colomortgages.com/ http://www.3bed2bath.net/ http://www.myprosperityfinancial.com/


Purchase - Refinance - Debt Consolidation - Cash-Out - Home Equity - Great Rates

Good Signs for Northern Colorado

Weld and Larimer County both saw sizeable increases in wages for the the 2nd quarter in 2007. Weld County ranked 20th out of 329 of the largest counties in the nation, with a 6.8% increase in weekly wages. While Larimer County, had a 5% increase in weekly wages.